The stage is set for one of the most compelling showdowns in recent UFC history when Jack Della Maddalena defends his welterweight crown against Islam Makhachev at Madison Square Garden. On one side stands a rising champion whose explosive striking has turned heads; on the other, a relentless grappler and former lightweight king on a mission to prove he belongs at the very top of the sport.
Jack Della Maddalena has emerged from Perth with a mindset forged in grit and ambition. He bet on himself, turned down earlier offers, and built a record that has earned him the welterweight title by defeating Belal Muhammad. His switching stance boxing, precise combinations and body-work set him apart in a division full of contenders. He believes he can finish Islam and sees the roof coming off MSG when he does. Islam Makhachev, meanwhile, is no stranger to dominance. With a stellar record and a reputation for elite wrestling, top control and submissions he moved up from lightweight to welterweight not just to win but to elevate his legacy. A victory here could put him in the GOAT conversation.
In the cage this is what we’re likely to see: Della Maddalena’s path to victory runs through keeping the fight upright, landing heavy leather early and avoiding the dangerous wrestling exchanges that favour Makhachev. If he maintains distance, forces Islam to respect his boxing and times the counter right his champion status has real upside. But Islam’s route to triumph is every bit as clear. He must get this into his world: body-lock, clinch, takedown, control. From there, he drains the challenger and takes over rounds. His striking progression only adds danger to his grappling advantage.
The significance of this fight extends beyond a title change. For Della Maddalena it is the moment of arrival; for Makhachev it is a chance to expand his reign. The odds lean toward Makhachev, reflecting his experience and well-rounded skill set, but the threat from Della Maddalena’s rhythm and punch-power means this is far from a foregone conclusion.
For fans and bettors alike the prop markets are rich: will the fight stay standing? Will Makhachev impose his wrestling early or will Della Maddalena upset by finishing on the feet? Each scenario brings its own thrill. What is certain is that UFC 322 will deliver drama, skill and a legacy shift.
Ultimately our pick favours Islam Makhachev to win by decision or late submission. The grappling advantage and experience in high-stakes fights give him the edge. Yet if Della Maddalena comes out firing, lands clean and avoids being taken down he can absolutely upset. That dual possibility is what makes this fight must-watch.
When the opening bell rings at the Garden the question won’t just be who wins the belt but who leaves with a changed identity. Champion or challenger, both men stake their stories on this night.
